New Report - GenAI and the Future of Government Work

Submitted by on Thu, 09/04/2025 - 11:53
Thursday, September 4, 2025
Michael J. Keegan
The conversation around artificial intelligence and the future of work often centers on one question: Will AI replace human workers? New research from the IBM Center provides a nuanced and encouraging answer.

Today, we're excited to announce the publication of GenAI and the Future of Government Work by Professor William G. Resh from the Andrew Young School of Policy Studies at Georgia State University, alongside a host of contributors. This timely report offers federal leaders a roadmap for navigating the AI revolution while keeping human talent at the center of public service. 

Key Insights from the Report

Drawing on a cutting-edge analysis of federal occupations, it highlights where AI can complement, augment, or automate tasks across diverse job types, helping agencies strategically integrate these tools into workforce planning. Among its central findings:

AI as Partner, Not Replacement. The report's central finding challenges common misconceptions about AI in the workplace. Through cutting-edge analysis of federal occupations, Dr. Resh and his team discovered that generative AI (GenAI) functions primarily as an enhancer rather than an eliminator of jobs. In most federal roles, GenAI serves as a force multiplier. For instance, white-collar professionals can delegate routine data processing to AI, freeing them to focus on high-value analysis. The analysis shows high scores for complementarity (AI working alongside humans) and augmentation (AI extending human abilities), with substitutivity (full replacement) remaining moderate to low. "GenAI is expanding what workers can do rather than making them obsolete," the report concludes. This means federal employees can offload tedious, routine tasks to AI systems and focus their expertise on higher-value analysis, strategic thinking, and mission-critical problem-solving.

Different Jobs, Different Impacts. Not all federal roles will experience AI's influence in the same way. The report identifies three distinct patterns:

  • Knowledge-intensive and technical fields like engineering, data science, and medicine see the greatest productivity boost from AI. These professionals can leverage automation for routine functions while applying their expertise to complex challenges that require human judgment.
  • Administrative and clerical roles face more direct automation pressure, particularly for repetitive tasks like data entry and transaction processing. However, this creates opportunities for workers to transition into more strategic, relationship-focused responsibilities.
  • Hands-on trade and labor positions remain largely protected from automation due to their physical and contextual demands. Even these roles benefit from GenAI-powered diagnostic tools and planning systems that enhance job performance.

The Human Element Remains Essential. Perhaps most importantly, the research emphasizes that tasks requiring critical thinking, creativity, and human interaction are the least susceptible to automation. Program managers, mediators, healthcare specialists, and educators who rely on judgment, empathy, and adaptability will continue to play irreplaceable roles in government service.

"GenAI can assist with information and recommendations, but human decision-making and 'soft skills' stay paramount," the report notes. This insight is particularly relevant for public sector work, which is inherently relational and often requires navigating complex, contingent situations that benefit from human intuition and experience.

Strategic Recommendations for Federal Executives

The report doesn't just analyze AI's impact—it provides actionable strategies for federal agencies to harness GenAI's potential:

  • Invest in targeted retraining and upskilling for roles heavily exposed to automation, helping employees transition into complementary positions alongside AI systems
  • Develop cross-training programs that blend technical expertise with human-centric skills to maximize human-AI synergy
  • Prioritize technological investments in areas where AI offers the biggest productivity gains
  • Adapt recruitment strategies to favor skills that work effectively with AI, such as combining data literacy with strong communication abilities

Building on a Foundation of Innovation  

This report expands the IBM Center’s ongoing commitment to examining the intersection of technology, workforce dynamics, and public administration. It builds on earlier reports that have empowered government leaders to leverage AI and emerging technologies for better mission delivery. These reports include:

Together with reports like Digital Modernization for Government: An Implementation Framework, A Prepared Federal Government: Preventing Fraud and Improper Payments in Emergency Funding, and AI and the Modern Tax Agency, these resources underscore our dedication to providing actionable strategies for navigating technological change.

Looking Ahead

As federal agencies stand at the threshold of the AI era, this report offers a compelling vision: rather than eliminating the human element from government, GenAI may enhance it. By handling routine tasks, AI frees public servants to focus on the creative, strategic, and interpersonal work that lies at the heart of effective governance.

The future of government work isn't necessarily about choosing between humans and machines—it's about creating powerful partnerships that leverage the strengths of both. With thoughtful planning and strategic implementation, federal agencies can cultivate workforces that are more innovative, efficient, and resilient than ever before.

For government leaders ready to navigate this transformation while keeping employees at the center of public service, GenAI and the Future of Government Work offers the insights and strategies needed to help success in an increasingly digital world.

We are grateful to Dr. Resh and his contributors for this insightful contribution, and we believe it will serve as a valuable resource for federal leaders seeking to harness GenAI’s potential—while safeguarding the human element that defines government work.